Tag Archives: same-sex marriage

Why Gay Marriage May Hinge on One Footnote

From my blog on the Huffington Post 4/9/13.

During oral argument in the Proposition 8 case last month, Justice Anthony Kennedy said:

I think there’s… substance to the point that sociological information [about gay marriage] is new. Five years of information to weigh against 2,000 years of history or more…[O]n the other hand, there is an immediate legal injury (or… what could be a legal injury), and that’s the voice of these children. 40,000 children in California, according to [a brief in the case], that live with same-sex parents, and they want their parents to have full recognition and full status. The voice of those children is important in this case, don’t you think?

To a lot of people, it may seem downright strange that a Supreme Court justice is asking how social scientists would project the impact of their potential ruling. As a social scientist myself, I find this an interesting phenomenon, of which there is quite a history.

During the Industrial Revolution of the late 19th/early 20th century, state governments (and Congress) became more active in regulating the economy, particularly employer-employee relations. In many instances, the U.S. Supreme Court struck down these laws as a violation of the right of both employees and employers to make economic contracts as they see fit.

State governments would often defend these types of laws — the rights to join a union, maximum work hour laws, minimum wage laws, etc. — on the grounds that they protected the health and safety of workers. In defending a law regulating the number of hours per day that women could work laundries, future Supreme Court justice Louis Brandeis issued a lengthy appendix to his brief detailing the potential hazardous health effects that the Oregon law was attempting to mitigate (as well as highlighting the fragility of women in demeaning terms).

2013-04-08-Brandeis.jpg

The most famous (or to some legal scholars, infamous) invocation of social science evidence in Supreme Court history was in Brown v. Board of Education, the 1954 case which declared school segregation unconstitutional. In prior cases, the Court had chipped away at the doctrine of “separate, but equal” by striking down segregated law schools and graduate schools where the programs for black students could not be considered materially equal to those of whites.

In order for desegregation to work across the board, the Court needed to argue that separate schools were inherently unequal, even if given identical levels of resources. To make that argument, Chief Justice Earl Warren cited several psychology and sociology studies that presented evidence that segregation, in its many forms, created:

Whatever may have been the extent of psychological knowledge at the time of Plessy v. Ferguson, this finding is amply supported by modern authority.^11

Footnote 11. K.B. Clark, Effect of Prejudice and Discrimination on Personality Development (Mid-century White House Conference on Children and Youth, 1950); Witmer and Kotinsky, Personality in the Making (1952), c. VI; Deutscher and Chein, The Psychological Effects of Enforced Segregation A Survey of Social Science Opinion, 26 J.Psychol. 259 (1948); Chein, What are the Psychological Effects of Segregation Under Conditions of Equal Facilities?, 3 Int.J.Opinion and Attitude Res. 229 (1949); Brameld, Educational Costs, in Discrimination and National Welfare (MacIver, ed., 1949), 44-48; Frazier, The Negro in the United States (1949), 674-681. And see generally Myrdal, An American Dilemma (1944).

While law professor Michael Heise welcomes the Footnote 11 approach as indicative of the multifaceted and multidisciplinary effect law exerts in our society, it is also important to remember that social science can cut both ways. In prior research, I examined a Kentucky law segregating school — even private schools, such as Berea College, which wanted to be racially integrated. I described the state’s legal argument as:

strikingly similar in its philosophical and legal basis to the famous “Brandeis Brief” submitted to the Court in Muller v. Oregon in that same year. Just as the “Brandeis Brief” disparaged the physical and social potential of women, Kentucky based its arguments on the fundamental inferiority of the African American race. The logical conclusion of this inequality was that the races must be kept separate to prevent racial amalgamation.

To prove its contention of natural and eternal racial differences, Kentucky cited an array of scientific evidence, which Benno Schmidt characterizes as “eugenic pseudoscience” used for an “unabashed exaltation of racism.” At the forefront was a study by Dr. Sanford B. Hunt, a prominent expert in anthropometrics — the study of the physical characteristics of racial groups. Hunt’s analysis of brain weight indicated that an average African American’s brain weighed five ounces less than the brain of an average white person. The brain of an average mulatto weighed even less than the brain of an average African American. In a shocking display of racism, Kentucky argued that this physical difference is “not the result of education, but is innate and God-given; and therein lies the supremacy of the Anglo-Saxon-Caucasian race.”

The Supreme Court refused to strike down this law.

How will social science influence the Court in the gay marriage cases? The American Sociological Association submitted an amicus curiae (or “friend of the Court”) brief outlining the scientific consensus that children raised by same-sex parents “fare just as well as children of opposite-sex parents.” Based on the precedent set by Footnote 11, social science may be a critical factor in this case.

Leave a comment

Filed under Huffington Post, Same-Sex Marriage

Why a Gay Marriage Backlash Is Unlikely

From my blog on the Huffington Post 3/29/13.

Now that oral arguments in the two gay marriage cases have concluded, the justices have many different options in both cases, limiting the reach of a potential pro-gay marriage opinion to one state (California), a handful of states, or legalizing gay marriage in all 50 states.

As law professor and Huffington Post contributor Geoffrey Stone has observed, “[t]he general consensus among Court-watchers…” is the Court will strike down Proposition 8 but not extend the right for same-sex couples to wed outside of California.

Few pundits think that the justices will legalize gay marriage across the board, if for no other reason than the Court’s anxiousness over a potential backlash from the public.  The fear is that  “judicial activism,” in which an unrepresentative and unaccountable court strikes down a democratically enacted law, would become an even greater part of the American political lexicon.

The justices are very cognizant of a potential backlash because, as Alexander Hamilton once famously noted, the Court “has no influence over either the sword or the purse.”  In other words, the justices lack the hard power needed to enforce their own decisions.

A backlash from a sweeping gay marriage opinion, this line of reasoning holds, would undermine the Court’s legitimacy.  UCLA Law Professor Adam Winkler expressed these sentiments in a Huffington Post blog entry recently.

In this instance, I believe these fears the justices may hold are misguided.

Many political scientists are skeptical of the ability of litigation to achieve meaningful social change.  Tom Clark has found that the Supreme Court becomes less likely to strike down laws in periods where Congress exhibits greater hostility to the Court.  He was lucky enough to attend oral argument in person yesterday, and he was struck by how uncomfortable the justices seemed of the broader political context of these cases.

Gerald Rosenberg examined the historical record after segregation was ruled unconstitutional in Brown v. Board of Education.  Not only did he find evidence of a significant backlash among Southern politicians but very little evidence that the Court’s opinion persuaded the public or political leaders.

Desegregation did not really start to become a reality until the passage of the 1964 Civil Rights Act, and, according to Rosenberg’s account, the most galvanizing force in convincing Congress to pass that law was the Selma race riots.  Because of the growth in sales of television, many people for the first time saw with their own eyes the violence and hostility African Americans faced in the South.

Having a personal or emotional connection to a political issue is an especially effective means of persuasion. (The presidential campaigns put 1 million ads on the air last year, but political science research indicates face-to-face canvassing is far more effective.)  One reason public opinion has changed so dramatically on gay marriage is because nearly 80 percent of Americans have a relative, close friend, or co-worker who is openly gay, including Chief Justice John Roberts.

When Senator Rob Portman’s son came out as a gay man, the Ohio Republican quickly changed his position in support of same-sex marriage.  Many other Republican leaders submitted an amicus curiae (or friend-of-the-Court) brief in support of gay marriage.  Gay marriage enjoys even stronger support among Democratic leaders, including many moderates.

This support from political leaders, though far from universal, provides the backdrop the Court would need to have a sweeping legalization of gay marriage administered effectively.

The vast majority of Americans trust the Supreme Court to decide questions involving constitutional rights.  And, despite news media portrayals to the contrary, a significant portion of the population does not have strong view on the issue of gay marriage.  These are exactly the type of people who are the most open to persuasion by a strongly worded Supreme Court decision, according to one major school of thought in political science.

Whether the struggle for equal rights for gays and lesbians is strongly analogous to the Civil Rights movement in the last century is a debate I will leave to others.  However, I think the evidence from political science suggests the reaction to legalizing gay marriage will not closely resemble the Massive Resistance movement that followed the Supreme Court’s attempts to desegregate.

Leave a comment

Filed under Huffington Post, Same-Sex Marriage

God Save This Honorable Court

From my blog on the Huffington Post 3/25/13.

Yesterday was Palm Sunday, which marked the beginning of Holy Week for Christians. Holy Week celebrates the passion, death, and resurrection of Jesus, culminating this Sunday with Easter.

This particular Holy Week is unique in American history. Tomorrow and Wednesday, the Supreme Court hears oral argument in two gay marriage cases. Also for the first time in American history, the Supreme Court does not include any Protestant justices. This Court consists of six Catholics and three Jews.

Does the current religious makeup of the Supreme Court amount to anything more than the answer to a trivia question? The answer, according to a study I conducted, is yes – to a limited extent.

The study, recently published in Political Research Quarterly, spans every non-unanimous Supreme Court decision from 1953 to 2007 in 11 different legal issues connected to religion. On seven issues, Catholic Supreme Court justices voted differently from Protestant and Jewish justices, even when taking into account underlying differences in each justice’s ideology. Each time a religious difference existed, Catholic justices were more likely to support the position of the Catholic Church.

These legal issues include some, like equality for racial minorities, on which the Catholic Church has embraced a politically liberal position, and others, like abortion, where the Church has taken a politically conservative stance.

It is crucial to understand the context of these findings. While these religious differences in voting are not a statistical fluke, they are also not nearly as powerful in predicting the Court’s decisions as other, more traditional, variables. Thus, I seriously doubt religion is, or ever has been, a conscious consideration of any Supreme Court justice, from any religious tradition. I believe Justice Scalia when he told biographer Joan Biskupic: “I have religious views on the subject [of abortion]. But they have nothing whatsoever to do with my job.”

At the same time, Supreme Court justices are not automatons. Despite Chief Justice Roberts’ insistence to the contrary, judges are not mere umpires who call balls and strikes. The Court rules on difficult legal issues, which have profound moral and social implications. In the past the Supreme Court has ruled on whether police conduct “shocks the conscience.” It is very difficult in these sorts of cases for a judge to check his or her conscience at the courthouse door.

Over the last 50 years, Catholic membership on the Supreme Court has spanned the ideological spectrum, from Justice William Brennan on the left to Justice Clarence Thomas on the right. The middle of the current Court is occupied by Justice Anthony Kennedy, also a Catholic. From 2006-2011, the Supreme Court handed down 116 decisions on a 5-4 vote. Justice Kennedy was in the majority in 94 of those cases, or 81 percent of the time.

Political scientist Frank Colucci’s biography of Justice Kennedy stresses the connection between his judicial views on liberty and the Catholic Church’s commitment to the protection of human dignity. Justice Kennedy has written two important majority opinions in support of gay rights using dignity as a concept.

In Roemer v. Evans, Kennedy viewed a Colorado constitutional amendment that prevented gays from seeking discrimination protection as a disadvantage imposed out of “animosity” to gays. In Lawrence v. Texas, the Supreme Court struck down a state law criminalizing gay sexual conduct. Justice Kennedy began his majority opinion in Lawrence with the following observation: “Liberty presumes an autonomy of self that includes freedom of thought, belief, expression, and certain intimate conduct.”

Justice Kennedy’s record on abortion, on the other hand, is more conservative. Biographer Colucci describes some of Kennedy’s abortion opinions as containing “paternalistic and moralistic language.” In one abortion case, Justice Kennedy wrote: “Respect for human life finds an ultimate expression in the bond of love the mother has for her child. Whether to have an abortion requires a difficult and painful moral decision…[S]ome women come to regret their choice.”

Which way will Justice Kennedy come down in these two cases? The problem for social scientists is that, while our models predict large trends in human behavior fairly well, it is much more difficult to predict the behavior of one person in only one instance. The questions Justice Kennedy asks at oral arguments this week will provide greater insight into his thoughts on these cases.

As Holy Week continues, I hope my findings will make more Americans aware of how religion shapes a judge’s worldview, in a way similar to a judge’s race, ethnicity, gender, and past life experiences.

However, I hope the next nominee to the Supreme Court is not subject to a senatorial inquisition over his or her faith. Article VI of the Constitution prohibits any religious test as a qualification for holding office in the United States, but we have often fallen short of this ideal. Past Catholic nominees to the Supreme Court have been subjected to humiliating questions about whether their first allegiance would be to the Constitution or papal edict.

America was settled by people seeking freedom to worship in accordance with their consciences, and America was founded by people seeking self-governance in accordance with the Constitution. I believe the justices of the Supreme Court have balanced these sometimes-competing principles commendably.

William D. Blake is a Ph.D. candidate in Government at the University of Texas at Austin and incoming assistant professor of Political Science at Indiana University, Indianapolis (IUPUI). He is the former press secretary of the Interfaith Alliance.

Leave a comment

Filed under Huffington Post, Same-Sex Marriage